By Alexander V. Kozhemiakin
Kozhemiakin examines the influence of democratization at the international coverage of transitional regimes. at the foundation of the case reviews of 4 at present democratizing countries (Russia, Ukraine, Serbia and Hungary) and a quantitative research of a number of dozen modern and ancient situations of democratization, the publication demanding situations the often made assumption that overseas peace is constantly reinforced by means of the method of democratization. the writer examines even if democratization exerts a pacifying effect or no matter if it inhibits overseas co-operation and promotes clash.
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Extra resources for Expanding the Zone of Peace?: Democratization and International Security
Example text
In the periods of massive political change, societal forces play a decisive role in shaping the character of state institutions and the nature of their preferences. 54 LOOKING AHEAD The proposed argument specifying the international effects of democratic transition will be evaluated in two steps. The main objective of the first step of empirical investigation is to examine the internal validity of the hypothesized relationship by carefully matching the postulated causal links against the available evidence.
41 In contrast, when foreign policy issues are of paramount importance domestically, the impact of the process of democratization on international security will be much more profound. The majority of cases of transitional regimes, however, are likely to fall somewhere in between these two extremes. INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS AND THE INTERNATIONAL IMPACT OF DEMOCRATIZATION Given the nature of the research question under consideration, it is not surprising that it is analysed primarily within the 30 Expanding the Zone of Peace?
If democratization is en route to successful completion, then societal and elite preferences are likely to be quite moderate. First of all, almost by definition, the successful process of democratic transition marginalizes illiberal political elites. Besides, political stability, economic recovery, and the diffusion of liberal norms which inevitably accompany democratic consolidation, make citizens less receptive to the radical propaganda of threatened and increasingly peripheral conservative political elites.